基于确定性和概率性模型评估噻虫嗪及其代谢物噻虫胺在甜瓜中的膳食风险

    Dietary risk assessment of thiamethoxam and its metabolite clothianidin in melon by deterministic and probabilistic models

    • 摘要: 阐明噻虫嗪及其代谢物在甜瓜中的残留特征,量化其对我国不同人群的多元化膳食风险,对保障人体健康和农业生态系统安全具有重要意义。本研究利用超高效液相色谱-三重四极杆串联质谱仪(UHPLC-MS/MS),建立了甜瓜中噻虫嗪及其代谢物噻虫胺的快速、痕量分析方法,明确了靶标农药的储藏稳定性;并基于我国人群参数与膳食结构,解析了多维暴露风险差异。结合大尺度的农药田间试验发现,噻虫嗪在甜瓜中的原始沉积量在0.025~0.031 mg/kg之间,消解半衰期(t1/2)为0.77~1.2 d,最终残留水平 ≤ 0.021 mg/kg;期间有6.1%~15%的噻虫嗪代谢为噻虫胺;联合多种登记作物评估发现,噻虫嗪和噻虫胺在蔬菜类作物中的长期风险显著高于其在水果、谷物、豆类、调味料、薯类、油料和糖料类作物中的,且乡村地区显著高于城镇地区(p < 0.05);通过确定性模型量化甜瓜中噻虫嗪的短期和长期膳食风险分别为0.043%~0.12%和0.0078%~0.055%,噻虫胺的分别为0.0051%~0.014%和0.00022%~0.0015%;通过概率性模型拟合噻虫嗪和噻虫胺在不同百分位点下的长期和短期风险商均小于100%,且30th百分位点下的长期风险商与确定性结果最接近,60th (噻虫嗪)和90th (噻虫胺)百分位点下的短期风险商与确定性结果最接近。无论是点评估还是区间评估,噻虫嗪及其代谢物噻虫胺对我国居民的膳食风险均可接受,但需警惕全生命周期内多样化膳食暴露导致的风险放大,特别是对易感儿童群体。

       

      Abstract: Elucidating the residue characteristics of thiamethoxam and its metabolite in melon and quantifying their diversified dietary risks to different populations in China are essential for safeguarding human health and agro-ecosystem safety. A rapid and trace analytical method for detecting thiamethoxam and its metabolite clothianidin in melons was developed using ultra-high performance liquid chromatography-triple quadrupole tandem mass spectrometry (UHPLC-MS/MS), and the stable stability of target pesticides was clarified. The diversification of multi-dimensional exposure risk was explored based on the parameters and dietary structure of Chinese populations. A large-scale field trials of pesticide was conducted and the results elucidated that the original deposition of thiamethoxam in melons ranged from 0.025 to 0.031 mg/kg, the degradation half-lives (t1/2) lasted from 0.77 to 1.2 d, and the final residue level was ≤0.021 mg/kg. Additionally, 6.1% to 15% of thiamethoxam was metabolized to clothianidin during the growth period. The joint multi-registered crop assessment showed that the long-term risks of thiamethoxam and clothianidin in vegetable crops were significantly higher than those in fruits, cereals, soybeans, spices, potatoes, oilseeds, and sugar crops, of which rural areas were significantly higher than urban areas (p < 0.05). Deterministic modeling quantified the short and long-term dietary risks for thiamethoxam in melon as 0.043%-0.12% and 0.0078%-0.055%, and those for clothianidin were 0.0051%-0.014% and 0.00022%-0.0015%, respectively. The short and long-term risks of thiamethoxam and clothianidin fitted by probabilistic modeling were less than 100% at different percentiles, and the long-term risks at the 30th percentile were closest to the deterministic results, and the short-term risks at the 60th (thiamethoxam) and 90th (clothianidin) percentile were closest to the deterministic results. Whether assessed as point or interval estimates, the dietary risk of thiamethoxam and its metabolite clothianidin for Chinese residents are acceptable, however, attention should be paid to the amplification of risk from diversified dietary exposure throughout the life cycle, especially for the susceptible pediatric populations.

       

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